Discover tonight’s best NRFI/YRFI bets, including predictions from key matchups like Mets vs. Padres, Phillies vs. Braves, and Astros vs. Orioles. Stay informed with updated MLB odds, pitching stats, and insights from DraftKings Sportsbook to help make your next wager.
For the Astros-Orioles game, DraftKings Sportsbook slightly favors a NRFI at -115 over YRFI at -120. This means there’s a 53.5% implied probability for NRFI, while YRFI stands at 54.5%, making it a tight race between both outcomes.
Astros vs. Orioles: NRFI/YRFI Breakdown
Spencer Arrighetti (Astros) and Corbin Burnes (Orioles) face off, showcasing contrasting profiles. Arrighetti holds a WHIP of 1.46, a K% of 26.4, and a NRFI/YRFI record of 14-7, leaning towards a stronger NRFI presence. Burnes, with a WHIP of 1.11 and a K% of 21.5, boasts a more favorable NRFI/YRFI record of 19-6, making him a solid contender for NRFI backers.
Looking at splits, Arrighetti improves against right-handed batters with a WHIP of 1.37 and a K% of 25.3, while Burnes is dominant at home with a WHIP of 1.25 and K% of 22.7. Both pitchers are also effective at limiting home runs, with HR/9 rates of 1.38 and 1.05, respectively. The Orioles’ powerful lineup, highlighted by impressive ISOs and wOBAs, will be a tough challenge for Arrighetti, while Burnes faces a balanced Astros offense.
Phillies vs. Braves: NRFI Odds & Predictions
DraftKings favors NRFI for the Phillies-Braves game at -130, implying a 56.5% chance, while YRFI sits at -105, with a 51.2% chance of a first-inning run. Cristopher Sánchez’s NRFI/YRFI record stands at 18-6, featuring a WHIP of 1.25 and a HR/9 of 0.32, showcasing his ability to limit early-game damage. Spencer Schwellenbach brings a 12-1 NRFI/YRFI record, alongside a stellar WHIP of 1.07 and a K% of 27.2.
The first two games of the series have not seen any first-inning runs, and tonight looks no different. Despite a strong Phillies lineup, Schwellenbach’s consistency this season makes NRFI the safer bet at -150, translating to a 60% probability, while YRFI stands at +110 (47.6% implied probability).
Mets vs. Padres: NRFI Prediction
Luis Severino (Mets) and Dylan Cease (Padres) present an intriguing matchup. Severino, with a WHIP of 1.22, K% of 18.8, and an impressive 22-2 NRFI/YRFI record, faces three left-handed hitters, against whom he allows a .320 wOBA and .160 ISO. Cease counters with a WHIP of 1.02 and a K% of 30.7, but early struggles and power hitters in the Mets’ lineup could cause NRFI trouble.
Despite Cease’s occasional first-inning struggles, his overall numbers and Severino’s strong NRFI record make NRFI (-145) the recommended pick for this matchup.
Source : https://www.playma.com/news/nrfi-yrfi-best-bets-today-8-22-24-odds-prediction-stats-pitching-matchups/
